Stock market, jobs report key to Fed’s decision, official says

Stock market, jobs report key to Fed’s decision, official says photo Stock market, jobs report key to Fed’s decision, official says

Because of Fed optimism with regard to the trajectory of inflation “we should not wait until inflation is back to 2% to begin tightening”.



“Given the apparent stability of inflation expectations, there is good reason to believe that inflation will move higher as the forces holding inflation down – oil prices and import prices, particularly – dissipate further”, Fischer said.

Federal Reserve Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer argued Saturday that the persistently low inflation that has plagued the country in recent years could finally begin to reverse, but would likely rise slowly.

“We can still expect to see some significant drops in the market until we get some direction from the Fed regarding a rate increase“, said John DeClue, chief investment officer of U.S. Bank Wealth Management.

European central bankers will address the conference Saturday, providing an worldwide perspective on market convulsions and slower Chinese growth during a panel on global inflation, in which Fischer will also take part.

Fischer said the Chinese slowdown is unlikely to have a major direct impact on the US economy, but it could ultimately hurt the USA if it drags down the rest of Asia.

“We will need to consider all the available information and assess its implications for the economic outlook before coming to a judgment”, he said. But, she added, “I want to take the time I have between now and the September meeting to evaluate all the economic information that’s come in, including recent volatility in markets and the reasons behind that”.

That contrasts with comments on Wednesday by New York Fed President William Dudley, who said market turbulence made the case for a September move “less compelling to me than it was a few weeks ago”.

Nearly half a year since the ECB started pumping €60bn a month of fresh cash into the economy, annual inflation data, due tomorrow, will probably still show prices rose only 0.1 percent in August – nowhere near the bank’s 2 percent target ceiling.

He underpinned the necessity for the Fed to proceed cautiously in normalizing the stance of monetary policy, and reiterated that the entire path of interest rates matters more than the particular timing of the first increase. So-called core PCE – which excludes volatile energy and food prices – grew 1.2% in the 12 months ending July.

Inflation by both measures has stayed below 2 per cent for more than three years. Last week’s release of the July minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee’s last meeting painted a picture of a sharply divided Fed regarding their views on inflation. Even though there was a strong case, that does not mean the Federal Reserve was for sure going to raise interest rates at the meeting, only that it seemed highly likely.

The dollar was down 0.4 percent at 121.25 yen after rising to the week’s high of 121.76 on Friday following the Fed officials’ comments that kept prospects of a September hike alive.

Carney said a slowdown in China could depress United Kingdom inflation further but it did not, for now, change his central bank’s position on when and how it might raise rates.

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